Design of Fuzzy Cognitive Model of Mutual Influence and Connectivity of Innovative Technologies

  • Sergey Gorbachev
  • Tatyana Abramova
Keywords: innovative technologies; foresight; experts; polls; fuzzy cognitive model; forecast

Abstract

The article is devoted to research and development of fuzzy cognitive model of mutual influence and connectivity of innovative technologies on the basis of synthesis of interdisciplinary research strategies - foresight methods based on logically transparent mechanisms of interpretation of the solution, expert weighting methods and neutrosophic cognitive maps. Neutrosophic cognitive map of mutual influence and connectivity of innovative technologies is constructed on the basis of data on the nature and intensity of these interactions, allowing to calculate the degree of influence of one or several concepts (technologies), taking into account their state, on the target indicator, and also calculate the fixed state of the concept system. The results of experimental verification and the multiplicative effect of the developed model on the data of expert surveys are described, under conditions of transition to the 6th technological order.

Published
2018-06-30
Section
Articles